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MACHINE LEARNING RISK ASSESSMENTS IN CRIMINAL JUSTICE SETTIN IBD

SPRINGER
12 / 2018
9783030022716
Inglés

Sinopsis

This book puts in one place and in accessible form Richard BerkâÇÖs most recent work on forecasts of re-offending by individuals already in criminal justice custody. Using machine learning statistical procedures trained on very large datasets, an explicit introduction of the relative costs of forecasting errors as the forecasts are constructed, and an emphasis on maximizing forecasting accuracy, the author shows how his decades of research on the topic improves forecasts of risk.áCriminal justice risk forecasts anticipate the future behavior of specified individuals, rather than 'predictive policing' for locations in time and space, which is a very different enterprise that uses different data different data analysis tools.áThe audience for this book includes graduate students and researchers in the social sciences, and data analysts in criminal justice agencies. Formal mathematics is used only as necessary or in concert with more intuitive explanations.