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IRREGULARITIES AND PREDICTION OF MAJOR DISASTERS IBD

SHOUCHENG OUYANG / YI LIN
AUERBACH PUBLICATIONS
09 / 2019
9780367384425
Inglés

Sinopsis

Although scientists have effectively employed the concepts of probability to address the complex problem of prediction, modern science still falls short in establishing true predictions with meaningful lead times of zero-probability major disasters. The recent earthquakes in Haiti,áChile, and China are tragic reminders of the critical need for improved methods of predictingánatural disasters. Drawing on their vast practical experience and theoretical studies, Dr. Yi Lin and Professor Shoucheng OuYang examineásome of theáproblems that exist in the modernásystem of science toáprovideáthe understanding required to improveáour abilityáto forecast and prepare for sucháevents. Presenting a series of new understandings, theories, and a new system of methodology, Irregularities and Prediction of Major Disasters simplifies the world-class problem of prediction into a series of tasks that can be learned, mastered, and applied in the analysis and prediction of forthcoming changes in materials or fluids. These internationally respected authors introduce their novel method of digitization for dealing with irregular information, proven effective for predicting transitional changes in events. They also: Unveil a new methodology for forecasting zero-probability natural disastersHighlight the reasons for common forecasting failuresPropose a method for resolving the mystery of nonlinearity Include numerous real-life case studies that illustrate how to properly digitize available informationSupplyáproven methods for forecasting small-probability natural disastersThis authoritative resource provides a systematic discussion of the non-evolutionality of the modern system of science-analyzing its capabilities and limitations. By touching on the n